Assumption
W-L: (19-18) PR = 93.7960Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 926 A Robert Morris TL (13-22, 94.3) 2- 6 927 A Robert Morris TL (13-22, 94.3) 2- 4 1003 H New Hampshire E (17-16, 95.2) 1- 5 1004 H New Hampshire E (17-16, 95.2) 0- 3 1010 A Post EWHA (11-28, 92.2) 2- 0 1011 H Post EWHA (11-28, 92.2) 1- 1 1017 H LIU EWHA (18-19, 93.0) 3- 2 1018 H LIU EWHA (18-19, 93.0) 2- 1 1031 A Franklin Pierce EWHA (23-15, 94.0) 3- 2 1101 H Franklin Pierce EWHA (23-15, 94.0) 1- 2 1101 H Post EWHA (11-28, 92.2) 2- 3 1107 A Stonehill EWHA (18-20, 93.6) 1- 4 1108 H Stonehill EWHA (18-20, 93.6) 3- 0 1114 A Stonehill EWHA (18-20, 93.6) 6- 1 1115 A Merrimack E ( 7-25, 93.4) 5- 0 1121 H Saint Anselm EWHA (19-21, 93.7) 3- 4 1122 A Saint Anselm EWHA (19-21, 93.7) 1- 2 1122 A Franklin Pierce EWHA (23-15, 94.0) 0- 7 1129 A Holy Cross E (19-13, 94.8) 2- 6 1130 A Merrimack E ( 7-25, 93.4) 1- 4 1205 A Sacred Heart EWHA (14-27, 93.3) 2- 2 1206 H Sacred Heart EWHA (14-27, 93.3) 4- 2 109 A Post EWHA (11-28, 92.2) 1- 2 110 H Post EWHA (11-28, 92.2) 4- 1 116 A LIU EWHA (18-19, 93.0) 3- 2 117 A LIU EWHA (18-19, 93.0) 0- 1 123 A Franklin Pierce EWHA (23-15, 94.0) 2- 0 124 H Franklin Pierce EWHA (23-15, 94.0) 3- 3 130 H Stonehill EWHA (18-20, 93.6) 7- 0 131 A Stonehill EWHA (18-20, 93.6) 2- 4 206 H Boston College E (17-19, 94.7) 6- 1 207 H Post EWHA (11-28, 92.2) 9- 0 213 H Saint Anselm EWHA (19-21, 93.7) 5- 3 214 A Saint Anselm EWHA (19-21, 93.7) 4- 2 220 H Sacred Heart EWHA (14-27, 93.3) 3- 4 221 A Sacred Heart EWHA (14-27, 93.3) 3- 2 227 H Post EWHA (11-28, 92.2) 2- 1 228 H Post EWHA (11-28, 92.2) 1- 2 301 H Post EWHA (11-28, 92.2) 4- 2 304 H Saint Anselm EWHA (19-21, 93.7) 1- 2
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
926 A Robert Morris 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.14
927 A Robert Morris 2- 4 -2 -1 -1.14
1003 H New Hampshire 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.98
1004 H New Hampshire 0- 3 -3 -1 -1.98
1010 A Post 2- 0 2 1 0.82
1011 H Post 1- 1 0 2 -1.96
1017 H LIU 3- 2 1 1 -0.20
1018 H LIU 2- 1 1 1 -0.20
1031 A Franklin Pierce 3- 2 1 -1 1.64
1101 H Franklin Pierce 1- 2 -1 0 -1.15
1101 H Post 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.96
1107 A Stonehill 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.81
1108 H Stonehill 3- 0 3 1 + 2.41
1114 A Stonehill 6- 1 5 0 ++ 5.19
1115 A Merrimack 5- 0 5 0 ++ 4.97
1121 H Saint Anselm 3- 4 -1 0 -1.45
1122 A Saint Anselm 1- 2 -1 0 -0.66
1122 A Franklin Pierce 0- 7 -7 -1 --- -6.36
1129 A Holy Cross 2- 6 -4 -1 - -2.55
1130 A Merrimack 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.03
1205 A Sacred Heart 2- 2 0 0 -0.14
1206 H Sacred Heart 4- 2 2 1 1.08
109 A Post 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.18
110 H Post 4- 1 3 2 1.04
116 A LIU 3- 2 1 0 0.58
123 A Franklin Pierce 2- 0 2 -1 + 2.64
124 H Franklin Pierce 3- 3 0 0 -0.15
130 H Stonehill 7- 0 7 1 +++ 6.41
131 A Stonehill 2- 4 -2 0 -1.81
206 H Boston College 6- 1 5 -1 ++ 5.55
207 H Post 9- 0 9 2 +++ 7.04
213 H Saint Anselm 5- 3 2 0 1.55
214 A Saint Anselm 4- 2 2 0 + 2.34
220 H Sacred Heart 3- 4 -1 1 -1.92
221 A Sacred Heart 3- 2 1 0 0.86
227 H Post 2- 1 1 2 -0.96
228 H Post 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.96
301 H Post 4- 2 2 2 0.04
304 H Saint Anselm 1- 2 -1 0 -1.45
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1122 A Franklin Pierce 0- 7 -7 -1 --- -6.36 926 A Robert Morris 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.14 1003 H New Hampshire 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.98 1101 H Post 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.96 1107 A Stonehill 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.81 1129 A Holy Cross 2- 6 -4 -1 - -2.55 1130 A Merrimack 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.03 109 A Post 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.18 228 H Post 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.96 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 130 H Stonehill 7- 0 7 1 +++ 6.41 207 H Post 9- 0 9 2 +++ 7.04 1114 A Stonehill 6- 1 5 0 ++ 5.19 1115 A Merrimack 5- 0 5 0 ++ 4.97 206 H Boston College 6- 1 5 -1 ++ 5.55 1108 H Stonehill 3- 0 3 1 + 2.41 123 A Franklin Pierce 2- 0 2 -1 + 2.64 214 A Saint Anselm 4- 2 2 0 + 2.34 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Robert Morris (13-22, 94.3) 2- 6 -5.64 2.37 0.39 0.92 -2.40
3 A Robert Morris (13-22, 94.3) 2- 4 -5.64 2.37 0.39 0.92 -2.40
3 H New Hampshire (17-16, 95.2) 1- 5 -4.69 3.31 -0.39 0.92 -2.33
3 H New Hampshire (17-16, 95.2) 0- 3 -4.69 3.31 -0.39 0.92 -2.33
3 A Post (11-28, 92.2) 2- 0 -7.68 1.00 0.39 0.92 2.55
3 H Post (11-28, 92.2) 1- 1 -7.68 1.00 -0.39 0.92 0.00
3 H LIU (18-19, 93.0) 3- 2 -6.92 1.09 -0.39 0.92 1.27
3 H LIU (18-19, 93.0) 2- 1 -6.92 1.09 -0.39 0.92 1.27
3 A Franklin Pierc (23-15, 94.0) 3- 2 -5.86 2.14 0.39 0.92 4.64
3 H Franklin Pierc (23-15, 94.0) 1- 2 -5.86 2.14 -0.39 0.92 -2.86
3 H Post (11-28, 92.2) 2- 3 -7.68 1.00 -0.39 0.92 -3.69
3 A Stonehill (18-20, 93.6) 1- 4 -6.30 1.70 0.39 0.92 -2.71
3 H Stonehill (18-20, 93.6) 3- 0 -6.30 1.70 -0.39 0.92 2.39
3 A Stonehill (18-20, 93.6) 6- 1 -6.30 1.70 0.39 0.92 3.83
3 A Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.4) 5- 0 -6.52 1.48 0.39 0.92 3.43
3 H Saint Anselm (19-21, 93.7) 3- 4 -6.16 1.85 -0.39 0.92 -3.00
3 A Saint Anselm (19-21, 93.7) 1- 2 -6.16 1.85 0.39 0.92 -2.64
3 A Franklin Pierc (23-15, 94.0) 0- 7 -5.86 2.14 0.39 0.92 -2.50
3 A Holy Cross (19-13, 94.8) 2- 6 -5.05 2.95 0.39 0.92 -2.13
3 A Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.4) 1- 4 -6.52 1.48 0.39 0.92 -2.81
3 A Sacred Heart (14-27, 93.3) 2- 2 -6.64 1.37 0.39 0.92 0.00
3 H Sacred Heart (14-27, 93.3) 4- 2 -6.64 1.37 -0.39 0.92 1.79
3 A Post (11-28, 92.2) 1- 2 -7.68 1.00 0.39 0.92 -3.33
3 H Post (11-28, 92.2) 4- 1 -7.68 1.00 -0.39 0.92 1.11
3 A LIU (18-19, 93.0) 3- 2 -6.92 1.09 0.39 0.92 2.71
3 A LIU (18-19, 93.0) 0- 1 -6.92 1.09 0.39 0.92 -2.99
3 A Franklin Pierc (23-15, 94.0) 2- 0 -5.86 2.14 0.39 0.92 4.64
3 H Franklin Pierc (23-15, 94.0) 3- 3 -5.86 2.14 -0.39 0.92 0.00
3 H Stonehill (18-20, 93.6) 7- 0 -6.30 1.70 -0.39 0.92 2.39
3 A Stonehill (18-20, 93.6) 2- 4 -6.30 1.70 0.39 0.92 -2.71
3 H Boston College (17-19, 94.7) 6- 1 -5.16 2.84 -0.39 0.92 4.48
3 H Post (11-28, 92.2) 9- 0 -7.68 1.00 -0.39 0.92 1.11
3 H Saint Anselm (19-21, 93.7) 5- 3 -6.16 1.85 -0.39 0.92 2.66
3 A Saint Anselm (19-21, 93.7) 4- 2 -6.16 1.85 0.39 0.92 4.10
3 H Sacred Heart (14-27, 93.3) 3- 4 -6.64 1.37 -0.39 0.92 -3.22
3 A Sacred Heart (14-27, 93.3) 3- 2 -6.64 1.37 0.39 0.92 3.22
3 H Post (11-28, 92.2) 2- 1 -7.68 1.00 -0.39 0.92 1.11
3 H Post (11-28, 92.2) 1- 2 -7.68 1.00 -0.39 0.92 -3.69
3 H Post (11-28, 92.2) 4- 2 -7.68 1.00 -0.39 0.92 1.11
3 H Saint Anselm (19-21, 93.7) 1- 2 -6.16 1.85 -0.39 0.92 -3.00
------
-0.90
|
winning pts = 49.8318 losing points = -50.7302
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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